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Study: Region 13 Enrollment to Drop 20 Percent Over Decade

A recent demographic study estimates that the student population in Durham and Middlefield will decline by over 400 students in the next ten years.

 

At their May 23 meeting, the Region 13 Board of Education was presented with a demographic study conducted by Dr. Chung of H.C. Planning Consultants, Inc. of Orange, Conn.

The study concluded that, based on a 10-year projection of trends including annual births, housing net gains, home sales, percent of resident students in nonpublic schools and unemployment, Region 13 should anticipate a 20-percent decline in enrollment by 2021.

As of 2012, 1,940 students are enrolled in the district and the number will drop to 1,556 by 2021, according to an executive summary of the study.

While the implications of the decline in enrollment were not discussed at the meeting, Superintendent Susan Viccaro said the board is deciding how to use the information moving forward.

The board will also, at a future date, present the information to the public, Viccaro said.

Stu May 30, 2012 at 01:54 PM
Good thought
Concerned May 30, 2012 at 05:17 PM
How about a corresponding decrease in expenses...I imagine, given their track records, that the district will find a way to not only keep present funding levels, but add the 3% +/- they've been adding every year.
Big K May 30, 2012 at 09:55 PM
I believe it is past due that our BOE downsize the staff, just like any other Multi-Million dollar company would do, or, has done. No!, Regional dist. #13 increased the budget by 3.5%. What has our "Finance Manager" been doing?
Chuck Stengel June 01, 2012 at 04:13 PM
An earlier projection of decreased enrollment nearly led to the sale of Brewster school many years ago. My expectations are that, as the economy recovers and we gray haired seniors move on, we'll be replaced by younger families with school aged children. The number of housing units hasn't decreased, just the age of our residents. Though reductions in variable costs such as staffing may be appropriate, I would hope that the board gives a close, hard look at permanent changes in the physical plant.
edmund dantes September 07, 2012 at 06:36 PM
On the contrary, younger families with children cannot hope to move into Durham or Middlefield in the coming years. High property values coupled with property tax rates among the highest in the state means that only older, two-income professional couples can afford to move here. Such couples tend to have fewer children than has been typical years ago. I would love to see the study itself, as I believe chronically high taxes explain much of the decline in the school population. The sorts of families that can afford to move to Durham now are also the sorts who send their kids to private school.

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